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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Old Dominion +135 over Marshall

7:30 PM EST This Sun Belt matchup sets up as a strong value opportunity on Old Dominion, even if the overall records lean slightly toward Marshall. The Thundering Herd have been solid in stretches this season, but they’ve also shown inconsistency, particularly away from home. While Marshall has handled business as a home favorite, their road profile is far less convincing, both straight up and against the spread. Recent form hasn’t helped either, with defensive lapses showing up in key spots and an inability to recover when falling behind early — something that was evident in their double-digit loss to Miami-OH. When a team struggles to regain control once momentum swings, that becomes a major concern on the road in conference play.

Old Dominion, despite its sub-.500 overall record, has been more competitive than the raw numbers suggest. The Monarchs have quietly improved in recent weeks, covering spreads at a strong rate and showing more balance offensively. They’re scoring slightly above their season average over the last ten games while maintaining similar defensive production, which signals stability rather than volatility. At home, they’ve been particularly scrappy as underdogs, playing with more physicality and controlling tempo better than they do on the road. Against a Marshall team that prefers to get comfortable offensively and shoot efficiently from deep, slowing the pace and forcing half-court possessions gives Old Dominion a clear path to dictating the style of play.

From a betting standpoint, this is about situational value more than headline records. Marshall’s stronger overall mark will draw attention, but their uneven road performances and recent ATS struggles inflate their perception slightly. Old Dominion has been trending more positively against the number and is coming off a confidence-building win, which matters in tightly lined conference games. If the Monarchs can keep Marshall from finding rhythm early and win the rebounding battle, this projects as a competitive game deep into the second half. In a matchup where momentum and home-court energy could swing the outcome, backing Old Dominion to win outright presents the sharper value play tonight

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