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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Campbell/William & Mary Under 167½

12:00 PM EST. William & Mary games tend to slow to a crawl in Williamsburg, and that home-court identity matters a lot in a matchup like this. The Tribe are comfortable grinding possessions deep into the shot clock, forcing opponents to execute in the half court rather than playing in transition. That style naturally suppresses total possessions, and it becomes even more effective against teams that rely on rhythm and pace to score efficiently. Campbell fits that description, and when those advantages are stripped away on the road, their offensive output takes a noticeable hit.

The numbers back it up. Campbell averages close to 80 points per game overall, but that figure drops by roughly ten points away from home, a meaningful decline when you’re being asked to help clear a total this high. William & Mary’s own home results lean under as well, with the majority of their games in this building finishing below posted numbers. From an analytics standpoint, this line also looks stretched: KenPom projects a total in the high-150s, and internal projections come in even lower, creating a sizable gap versus the market. With pace, venue, and efficiency all pointing the same direction, the under is the clear value.

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