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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Youngstown St. -10 -115 over IUPU

6:30PM EST Youngstown St. is in a strong position to take care of business at home tonight against IUPUI, and spotting the points presents solid betting value. The Penguins have been the more consistent team on both ends of the floor this season, particularly against Horizon League opponents, where their physicality and depth have translated into reliable scoring margins. Youngstown State has shown an ability to control tempo, limit mistakes, and build separation against weaker competition — a key trait when backing a double-digit favorite.

The matchup itself heavily favors YSU. The Penguins hold a clear edge in offensive efficiency, shooting the ball at a higher rate while generating cleaner looks in transition and in the half court. IUPUI has struggled defensively all season, especially against teams that can stretch the floor and score inside, and they’ve routinely fallen behind early when facing disciplined offenses. Youngstown State’s rebounding advantage and ability to score second-chance points should further pressure an IUPUI team that has had difficulty sustaining defensive effort for 40 minutes.

From a betting perspective, this line does not fully account for the gap in consistency and execution between the two programs. IUPUI has been unreliable against the spread, particularly as an underdog of this size, while Youngstown State has been far more trustworthy when expected to win comfortably. With home court, matchup advantages, and a clear edge in efficiency, YSU offers value rather than risk, making the Penguins the preferred side to cover tonight

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