Posted at 4:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +12 -106 BET365 +12 -110 Sportsinteraction +12 -110   888Sport +12 -110

San Diego St +12 over UConn

TD Garden - Boston, MA

Men's Basketball Championship - East Region - Sweet 16

Streaming: TBS/truTV

7:30 PM EST. The Huskies of UConn are widely considered to be the best team in the country and we’re not here to argue otherwise. UConn is also the defending champs and wouldn’t you know it, they beat this same San Diego State squad in the Championship Game last year by a score of 76-59. That’s a 17-point win and the market is betting on a repeat. We’re not.

You see, UConn has barely broken a sweat thus far with easy wins over both Stetson and Northwestern. Stetson was ranked 223rd in the country while Northwestern was ranked 41st after playing the 353rd ranked Strength of Schedule out of 362 teams. Of course UConn blew both out but this isn’t Stetson or Northwestern. SDSU’s defense is incredibly good and they also have perhaps the best player on the floor in Jaedon LeDee. Dude is an absolute monster out there.

What also sticks out to us and is something you won’t read about in many other places is that San Diego State has virtually the same team this year as they did last year when they made it to the final. However, UConn was a -5½-point favorite in that championship game and now we get this same underdog with twice as many points.

There is no question that UConn is outstanding and are supposed to win this game. This is a team with great players throughout the lineup and its offense is poetry in motion. However, winning and covering are two different animals and once again, we turn our attention to value. UConn is a #1 seed spotting inflated points against a team that battled them closely last year (the score was 60-55 with 5:41 left) before UConn won by a misleading 17 points. We now get to take back double the points with a team a year older, wiser and prepped to keep it scary close. 

Sherwood

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