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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Chicago +10½ -105 over Detroit 

8:00 PM EST Detroit’s 41-13 record and current winning streak will naturally draw heavy public support, especially after Cade Cunningham’s 42-point performance in New York. When an elite team faces an opponent on a seven-game skid, oddsmakers are forced to post a premium number. A double digit point spread reflects perception as much as matchup. Division games, however, tend to tighten up, and Chicago has already seen this opponent multiple times this season. Familiarity reduces volatility and increases the likelihood of a competitive script, particularly at home where the Bulls are hovering around .500.

The Detroit Pistons deserve credit for their defensive identity and paint dominance, but double-digit road favorites carry inherent risk. Detroit plays through physical half-court execution and defensive efficiency, a style that often controls games but doesn’t always produce separation. Meanwhile, Chicago’s pace and three-point volume create backdoor potential. The Bulls average 14.6 made threes per game, notably higher than what Detroit typically allows, and high-variance perimeter shooting is exactly what you want when catching a big number. Even during this losing stretch, Chicago’s offensive output hasn’t collapsed — it’s been defensive lapses that have sunk them. If they produce even league-average resistance, this spread becomes inflated.

From a betting standpoint, this is about buying low and fading peak pricing. Detroit has been excellent, but sustaining margins night after night — especially on the road — is difficult. Chicago’s struggles are fully baked into the line, and the motivation factor at home against a conference leader shouldn’t be ignored. In a divisional matchup with contrasting tempos and three-point variance in play, grabbing the points  provides a strong mathematical cushion. The Pistons may very well win, but the number suggests dominance — and that’s where the value lies on Chicago to keep this within reach.

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