NBA Free Picks for
Pinnacle +7 -105 BET365 +7 -105 Sportsinteraction +7 -105 888port +7 -105
Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
LA Clippers +7 over Oklahoma City
Intuit Dome – Inglewood, CA
11:00 PM ET. The setup here is textbook market conditioning. Oklahoma City is the defending champion, they’re 7-0 to start the year, and they look every bit the force they were last season. They’ve handled every challenge, and they’ve handled this Clippers team in particular — five straight wins against L.A., and 4-0-1 ATS in that stretch. Add in the narrative that the Clips are playing on the second night of a back-to-back in L.A., and the Thunder become the most obvious play on the board and that’s precisely why they’re not.
When a team is undefeated, covering, rolling, and carrying championship shine, the price swells. OKC has earned respect, but now the tax is attached. Everyone sees the streak, everyone sees the matchup history, and everyone sees the body language of a juggernaut. The market knows this and hangs the corresponding premium even if the narrative encourages one-way traffic on SGA and company.
The Clippers, meanwhile, are being sold low. Their early-season narrative has been inconsistency, chemistry questions, and aging stars. Yet this group remains deep, experienced, and capable of a high-energy bounce in spots just like this — at home, disrespected, and staring at a line inflated by perception rather than present reality. Back-to-back dynamics matter, but they’re not an automatic fade, especially when a motivated veteran roster is catching the extra cushion.
The public will chase OKC — the streak, the dominance, the “easy spot.” But value doesn't exist in comfort. With the market baking in recency, trend worship, and Thunder adoration, the Clippers become the side offering buy-in at a discount. You're getting a capable team with weapons, pride, and home floor, at a bloated number simply because the opponent has been flawless. Time to step off the OKC train — at least for tonight.
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Our Pick
LA Clippers +7 -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)
NBA Historical - Totals
| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| Last 30 Days | 5 | 7 | 0.00 | -2.70 |
| Season to Date | 5 | 7 | 0.00 | -2.70 |
