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Posted at 11:30AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Brooklyn +8.5 -110 over Phoenix

9:00PM EST Brooklyn enters this matchup buried in the standings, but that’s exactly why the number matters more than the record. The Nets have been bad overall, no sugarcoating it, yet they’ve shown flashes of competitiveness even during this rough stretch, including pushing Boston to double overtime and briefly stabilizing after disastrous starts in recent games. As an underdog, especially a large one, Brooklyn has quietly been more serviceable than public perception suggests. This is a team that still gets to the free-throw line, crashes the glass, and can hang around if the game doesn’t spiral early.

Phoenix, meanwhile, is dealing with a very different problem: life without Devin Booker. The Suns’ offense looks dramatically different when he’s out, losing its primary creator and late-clock safety valve. Shot quality drops, ball movement slows, and perimeter efficiency has cratered, as seen in recent losses where open looks simply didn’t fall. Even at home, Phoenix has struggled to separate from weaker teams without Booker orchestrating things, and laying a large number becomes dangerous when offensive droughts are a real possibility.

From a value perspective, this is less about trusting Brooklyn to win and more about questioning whether Phoenix can justify such a heavy spread in its current state. The Nets don’t need to be good—they just need to be competitive, and the Suns’ short-handed offense opens the door for exactly that. With the market still pricing Phoenix as if Booker’s absence is a minor inconvenience, grabbing Brooklyn plus the points offers a more favorable risk-reward profile than backing a Suns team still searching for rhythm.

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