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Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Indiana +6 -110 over Boston

7:00pm EST Indiana presents underrated betting value in a spot where the line leans heavily on Boston’s brand power rather than the situational realities of the schedule. The Celtics are priced as the superior team — and rightfully so — but this number assumes peak focus and energy, something that isn’t always there in dense scheduling spots. Getting more than two possessions with a fast-paced Indiana team that can score in bunches creates immediate value, especially when the market tends to overreact to Boston’s last result.

Scheduling is the quiet edge working in Indiana’s favor. Boston finds itself in a demanding rhythm that tests depth and defensive consistency, while the Pacers benefit from a cleaner prep window and a style that thrives against tired legs. Indiana’s pace forces constant transition defense, and that’s where scheduling fatigue shows up most clearly — missed rotations, late closeouts, and free points at the line. Those small edges add up quickly over four quarters and help keep underdogs live well into the closing minutes.

From a wagering perspective, this is a classic number-over-name situation. Indiana doesn’t need to control the game to cover, they simply need to maintain tempo and capitalize when Boston’s intensity dips. With scheduling dynamics favoring the underdog and the spread sitting above a key possession threshold, Indiana offers solid value for bettors willing to trust the spot rather than the standings

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