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Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS +3 over Denver

Intuit Dome – Inglewood, CA

10:30 PM ET. There’s plenty to unpack here. First, let’s talk about perception. The Clippers are a market pariah right now — 1–9 on the year and 1–9 ATS, the worst covering team in the Association. They’ve been a graveyard for tickets, and because of that, the market keeps inflating their numbers to attract any money at all. When a team becomes that toxic, that’s usually when we start paying attention.

On the other side sits Denver, the Nuggets are 8–2 overall, 7–3 ATS, and have covered in four of their last five. They’ve won five straight and have all the market confidence in the world behind them. They’re everything the Clippers aren’t right now — consistent, profitable, and trusted. And yet, despite all of that, this number opened short. The Clippers took back only a few points before the line was pushed up by predictable market steam on Denver. That initial price tells us something: oddsmakers don’t see this as a runaway.

If the roles were reversed — if the Clippers were even passable against the number and Denver weren’t so hot — this line might be a pick’em. But because of brand equity on one side and complete public abandonment on the other, we get value on the underdog. The Clippers still have a veteran roster, defensive versatility, and enough depth to make life tough for a Denver team playing at peak valuation.

This is less about loving the Clippers and more about fading market distortion. When everyone believes a team can’t cover, that team becomes underpriced by default.

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