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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Milwaukee +100 over Chicago

7:40 PM EST. Kyle Harrison (LHP - MIL) is coming off one of his strongest starts of the season, firing five shutout innings against San Diego while striking out seven without issuing a walk. The left-hander has now allowed two earned runs or fewer in all eight of his starts, posting a 3.22 xERA while combining swing-and-miss stuff with excellent command. Harrison draws a difficult assignment against a Cubs lineup that has handled left-handed pitching well over the past month, hitting .264 with a 114 wRC+ while striking out just 18.6% of the time. Still, Harrison has been one of the more reliable arms in Milwaukee's rotation and continues to outperform expectations every fifth day.

Edward Cabrera (RHP - CHC) remains one of baseball's most tantalizing arms, but the results continue to lag behind the talent. Cabrera has allowed at least three earned runs in each of his seven starts and owns a 5.26 ERA. While his underlying metrics suggest some positive regression may eventually arrive, bettors have been waiting on that breakthrough for years. His strikeout rate remains solid, but command issues and an inability to consistently work deep into games continue to create problems. Now he faces a Brewers lineup that has been scorching right-handed pitching over the past month, hitting .266 while striking out less than 20% of the time.

Milwaukee has already won the first two games of this series and there is no compelling reason to step in front of them now. The Brewers are playing excellent baseball, they're swinging the bats with confidence, and they continue to find ways to win regardless of venue or opponent. Bettors often look for reasons to jump off a hot team, but sometimes the simplest approach is the correct one. Milwaukee is rolling, Chicago is sending out a vulnerable favorite, and the price is offering even money on the hotter club.

The Brewers enter with the steadier starter, the hotter lineup, and all the momentum in this series. We'll continue riding the streak until the market gives us a reason not to.

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