ALCS Game 5
Seattle -105 over Toronto

Pinnacle    -105     BET365  -105  Sportsinteraction  -105  888port  -105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Seattle -105 over Toronto

T-Mobile Park – Seattle, WA

MLB Playoffs – ALCS Game Five

6:00 PM ET. If you want to know which way the market is leaning, just tune into FOX’s ALCS coverage — A-Rod, Big Papi, and Derek Jeter have already written the script. After the Blue Jays went down 0-2, the broom-sweepers were out in force. Now, after Toronto clawed back to even the series, it’s suddenly a best of three, and the Jays have become the media darling — praised for their “masterclass” in bullpen management and timely hitting. The market is buying hook, line, and sinker.

Let’s pump the brakes. This matchup on paper is a wash — Kevin Gausman versus Bryce Miller is a coin-flip. The price reflects that reality perfectly. What doesn’t line up is the public perception. The narrative has swung so far in Toronto’s favor that you’d think they’d already punched their ticket to the World Series. But this series is tied, not over, and the Jays’ perceived “momentum” has been baked into the number, and yet they still aren’t favored here.

Now that Toronto’s stock has inflated off back-to-back wins and a media tailwind, this is where the value shifts. Seattle remains the steadier, more disciplined side with the bullpen edge and a manager who knows when to pull the right strings. The line says it all — even after dropping two straight the M’s haven’t moved the needle in terms of how the oddsmakers assess the two combatants. That’s the tell. Backing Toronto here is not rolling with the best of it and the spot is simple — Mariners or nothing. We’re back on Seattle again.

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Our Pick

Seattle -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)