Pinnacle  +135  BET365   +135   Sportsinteraction  +135

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

San Francisco +135 over LA Dodgers

Dodger Stadium – Los Angeles, CA

10:10 PM ET. This game is priced like a mismatch because it’s the Dodgers at home. Strip away the uniforms and reputations, and it’s a coin flip. In coin flips, we take the plus money every time.

Yamamoto has been terrific on the surface — 11-8 with a 2.67 ERA — but dig deeper and Webb is right there with him. Webb owns a 2.70 FIP compared to Yamamoto’s 2.96. Both induce ground balls at a high clip, both are striking out nearly 10 per nine, and both sit above 4 WAR. The difference is variance. Webb has been saddled with a .350 BABIP, while Yamamoto has been blessed with a .243 mark. Those bounces don’t last forever.

If variance normalizes even slightly, Webb becomes the better arm here. Combine that with plus money in what is otherwise a toss-up, and the value spikes. 

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Football  if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

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