Pinnacle  -1½ +185  BET365  -1½ +185   Sportsinteraction  -1½ +185

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Arizona -1½ +185 over San Francisco

Chase Field – Phoenix, AZ

3:45 PM ET. We’ve faded Brandon Pfaadt most of the year, and now we’re backing him on the run line. Situational betting is what it is. San Francisco “needs” this game, Verlander is on the mound, and the market wants you to buy into the story of one last stand. That story is garbage.

Verlander is 41 and not close to his vintage self. He’s 3-10 with a 3.94 ERA even after four straight decent outings. More importantly, San Francisco is a losing road club playing in a launching pad, and they’re priced as if Verlander alone can change that. If the Giants and a “hot” Verlander were the correct side, they’d be favored. They’re not. That tells you everything. Arizona by margin.

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