Pinnacle  -1½ +140 BET365  -1½ +140    Sportsinteraction  -1½ +140  888port  -1½ +140

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

NY Mets -1½ +140 over Detroit

Comerica Park – Detroit, MI

1:10 PM ET. The market wants you to believe Detroit is automatic here. They’ve been running away with the AL Central while the Mets just lost four straight to Miami, which doesn’t exactly scream “buy sign.” On optics alone, the Tigers look like the side. Yet New York is priced as the chalk, and that deserves a closer look.

Sean Manaea isn’t trusted to work deep into games, and his surface line (1-2, 5.01 ERA) won’t attract casual support. What matters is what’s underneath: 11.5 K/9, 3.76 xERA, 3.46 FIP. That’s high-end stuff, and with the Mets’ bullpen finally pitching to its potential, the pieces fit. Detroit counters with Charlie Morton, who brings a 9-10 record and 5.25 ERA with peripherals that are just as concerning (4.64 FIP, 4.16 xERA, sub-40% ground-ball rate).

This isn’t about form, it’s about the arms and the situations behind them. New York has the better starter, the sharper bullpen, and the bats to create separation when the opportunities come. When the Mets win, they’re live to win by margin. That’s the target.

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