Pinnacle   +120 BET365  +120    Sportsinteraction  +120  888port  +120

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Minnesota +120 over Toronto

Rogers Centre – Toronto, ON

7:07 PM ET. Another case of reputation over reality. The Jays are in a Wild Card chase and Max Scherzer is on the bump — what could go wrong? Well, plenty.

Scherzer’s ERA and name carry weight. But what he’s doing under the hood doesn’t match the surface shine. A 4.48 FIP, a declining K rate, and a fly-ball profile that’s flirting with danger in a park that doesn’t forgive mistakes.

Meanwhile, Joe Ryan has been nails. You can’t argue with a sub-1.00 WHIP, an ERA under 3, and peripherals that hold up across the board. He’s the better pitcher here — full stop. And he’s taking back a price.

Minnesota just lost a series to the White Sox, and nobody wants them. That’s the best time to step in.

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