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+260 +255  +260

Posted at 3:00 PM EST and odds are subject to change.

The best number here is a Pinnacle with the Pirates +276

Pittsburgh +276 over N.Y. Yankees

7:05 PM EST. Nestor Cortes (LHP - NYY) has become a control artist in 2022. After struggling to get ahead of hitters in 2021 (58% first-pitch strikes), he is doing so at an elite 70% clip this season. He's also pumping the zone full of strikes (32% Ball%). With a so-so 11.7% swing and miss rate, it remains to be seen how much staying power he will have. His 3.86 xERA is a better barometer than his current 2.70 ERA. His 26%/28%/46% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate also opens up a big window for the Pirates to score runs.

Playing in New York against the Yanks in mid-Sept is what dreams are made of. We have to trust that the Pirates young and enthusiastic team will embrace every moment of this opportunity. It’s thrilling. Now throw in this absolutely ridiculous price and that alone makes the Pirates worthy of a wager but it’s not just that.

The non-Judge Yankees have performed poorly since the start of August but today they are favored like they can’t lose. They can. Furthermore, Luis Ortiz (RHP - PIT) has 99-mph gas complemented by a sharp slider. He threw 5-innings of shutout ball in his MLB debut. In any case, win, lose or get blown out, the price on the Pirates is what dictates the play. We also have the added bonus of a starting pitcher who might just be elite one day and might be very, very good today.