Tampa Bay @ Toronto
Tampa Bay +117 over Toronto

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Posted at 10:45 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best number here with the Rays +117

Tampa Bay +117 over Toronto

3:07 PM EST. Kevin Gausman (RHP - TOR) is a legit ace with all the skills to back it up. He throws strikes (just 24 walks issued in 179 innings) he attacks hitters and he has a devastating splitter. However, he had a not so good August and he may be starting to labor a bit. Another mild concern has been his batted ball rates of 38% grounders, 25% line-drives and 37% fly-balls. His groundball rate is below league average and his line-drive rate is higher than league average. That said, this wager is so much more about getting behind the Rays and their ace.

We preach value so allow us to break this one down. Over his last 10 starts, Shane McClahanan (LHP - TB) was favored by the following amounts: -178, -255, -194, -202, -248, -241, -181, -195, -173 and -241. Need we say more? Shane McClanahan is the most skilled young starting pitcher in the game, and it isn't close: 35% K%, 5% BB%, 31% K-BB%, 50% grounders, 2.52 xERA. His elite 17.2% swing and miss rate, 64% first-pitch strike rate, and 32% Ball% back up his breakout and confirm he has no chinks in his armor. Win, lose or draw, dude can’t be a _180 to -250 fav every time out and then be priced like this in Toronto.

Our Pick

Tampa Bay +117 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.34)