Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Baltimore -101 over Cincinnati

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Posted at 12:15 PM EST and are subject to change.

Baltimore -101 over Cincinnati

6:40 PM EST. We found -101 at Pinnacle, -105 at some joints and -110 at others. Regardless, we’ll play Baltimore straight up because it’s very warranted. The Oriole continue to play well and with a swag. They love coming to the park and perhaps most importantly, they’re confidence is skyrocketing.

Tyler Mahle (RHP - CIN) carries risk in today's start despite his positive matchup rating. His return from the IL in his last start on July 24 looked good on the surface, but he allowed 15 batted ball events without one going for a hit (.000 BABIP), stranded 90% of the runners who got on base, and finished with a 6% swinging strike rate. Orioles hitters have hit well on the road over the last month, and even though their sample size in the same span is relatively small compared to other teams, they still find themselves in the Top-10 for strikeout rate, ISO, and OPS. Mahle’s home/road splits do not play in his favor at Great American Ballpark, either: 4.94 ERA versus 3.83 ERA on the road.

Our Pick

Baltimore -101 (Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)

Colorado +206 over St. Louis
Oakland +168 over Texas
Toronto +131 over N.Y. Yankees