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Posted at 9:35 AM EST and are subject to change.

Chicago +170 over St. Louis

2:15 PM EST. Arm injuries cost Miles Mikolas (RHP - STL) the 2020 season and limited him to just 45 IP in 2021, but he has been a pleasant surprise so far in 2022. Through 89 innings, he boasts a shiny 2.64 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Has he turned back the clock to his career year of 2018?  Well, there are a lot of similarities, most notably a healthy dose of good fortune. Pinpoint control remains his best asset and it’s backed by xBB%. However, a seriously subpar swing & miss/K-rate is his biggest weakness. Of his five-pitch arsenal, only two offerings have garnered a swing & miss rate better than 7% in 2022 (four-seam: 12% , 19% usage; slider: 11%, 29% usage). A fortuitous blend of hit rate/strand rate and HR/F luck has sparked a wide ERA/xERA gap. Though the 33-year-old Mikolas outpitched his skills by a considerable margin back in 2018, don't count on that happening the rest of the way here in 2022. Regression looms large and once again, these prices on these very average or below average pitchers are absurd.