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Posted at 2:30 PM EST and are subject to change.

Miami +110 over Philadelphia

7:05 PM EST. The Marlins will send Sandy Alcantara (RHP - MIA) out tonight, who didn't factor into the decision in his start against the Nationals last Wednesday. Alcantara pitched nine scoreless innings while striking out six and walking none. Alcantara sports the best groundball rate on the board today and is almost an auto-bet when he’s an underdog. Dude is elite with a 1.61 ERA, an elite 15% swing and miss rate and an off-the-charts 59% groundball rate.

We’re not going to rag on Aaron Nola (RHP - PHI), as he is also great. The difference is that everyone knows it. If one were to point to one blemish, it would be Nola’s 2.1% drop in his swing and miss rate which was elite, but now is not. Moreover, you are also paying a premium to back a Phillies team that has been on a tear, winning nine of their last 10 games. That's fool's gold.

Yesterday the Philiies lost 13-1 after a nine-game winning streak. Baseball is a game of streaks but there is no question that the Phillies had been playing above their means. A loss after a long winning streak is very often followed by another loss. We'll put that to teh test here but more importantly, we get an absolute ace takling back a tag,