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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Calgary +115 over Montreal

4:00 PM EST. Last week's meeting proved just how little separates these teams, and that's exactly why Calgary is the side to back in the rematch. Montreal escaped with the victory, but the Stampeders showed they could match the Alouettes punch for punch, answering big plays with big plays of their own. Now the scene shifts to McMahon Stadium, where Calgary gets the benefit of home field and a chance to make the adjustments that often decide back-to-back meetings. Familiarity tends to shrink the gap between teams, and that favors the club catching Montreal for a second straight week.

The Alouettes have built their reputation on an explosive passing attack, but Calgary's defense has quietly become one of the more opportunistic units in the CFL. The Stampeders have shown they can pressure opposing quarterbacks without sacrificing discipline in the secondary, and that's critical against a Montreal offense that thrives on chunk plays. If Calgary forces the Alouettes into longer drives instead of allowing quick strikes, the entire complexion of the game changes. The Stamps have also become far more balanced offensively, making them much harder to defend than they were earlier in the season.

There's also a psychological edge that can't be ignored. Montreal comes in with the confidence of having already beaten Calgary, but that can easily lead to a sense that simply repeating last week's performance will be enough. The Stampeders, meanwhile, have spent the entire week dissecting what worked and what didn't, and teams in revenge spots often benefit from that level of focus. Calgary has been playing with growing confidence, and this feels like the type of home game that can define the rest of its season.

The betting market continues to give Montreal the benefit of the doubt based on its strong start, but these teams are much closer than the perception suggests. Calgary has already proven it can compete with the Alouettes, and with the rematch taking place on its own field, the value swings toward the home side. Expect the Stampeders to capitalize on the adjustments, control the key moments, and flip last week's result by earning a statement victory in front of their home crowd.

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