Posted at 12:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +8 -105   BET365 +8 -110 Sportsinteraction +8 +100 888Sport +8 -110

Hamilton +8 over Toronto

3:30 PM EST. Toronto is tops in the CFL through the first half of the season, which is nice come Labour Day, but if you’ve been a follower of this league as long as we’ve been, you know the CFL season doesn’t really start until Thanksgiving, which is still a month away. That said, the hype that the Argos have built has created a situation where they are now the most overvalued club in the league at this point of the season. That presents a potential opportunity by way of potential profits because you may recall expectations were relatively low for the defending Grey Cup Champions.

Toronto had a young QB who had never started a full season, and there was much turnover from the 2022 title-winning team. However, Chad Kelly has done his part, and the Argos' defense has been one of the most fierce in the league, creating the third most takeaways in the CFL, while the offense has the fewest giveaways by a country mile at just 13. Meanwhile, the two teams with the second fewest turnovers (Calgary and Hamilton) sit at 22. To summarize, the Argos are good, sure, but they’ve been lucky, too, as turnovers are a luck-based statistic that cannot be counted on game over game. Eventually, one’s luck will run out and even out over time. It’s not science; it’s karma, and in sports, it's real.

A breakdown of X’s and O’s is not our forte, but we do like to point them out from time to time because it is with that information that much of the market bases its decisions. In this case, we’ll stick with Toronto because it is the one making waves. The Boatmen are 8-1, they lead the league in points per game (34.1) and yards per play (7.65) to go with that league-best turnover ratio of +11.

The Tiger-Cats, on the other hand, are a disappointing 4-6 as they’ve suffered injuries all over the field, but most importantly at the QB position, where third-string rookie QB Taylor Powell will get the nod in this most important game in the Steel City. If you’ve never been to the game or you are unfamiliar with the geographical rivalry between the Tabbies and the Argos, we’ll make it easy for you to understand. Hamilton hates Toronto, and Toronto is indifferent, which makes Hamilton hate their big city, big brothers even more. The little brother chip on Tabbie’s shoulder is real, very real, and because of that, a true and honest effort is never in question on Labour Day at Tim Hortons Field.

All that to say, this is a classic “buy low, sell high” situation that has all the makings of an outright upset that sees the Ti-Cats taking back a pile of inflated points in a game they can very much win. The Argos have been riding that rainbow with a horseshoe up their asses all season, but luck will only get you so far. If there is any dip in that department for the Boatmen, it’s going to be a long day at the office, as the Tabbies are hungry and they are ready to eat.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------