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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

WREXHAM +220 (To Win in Full Time) over Sheffield United

Racecourse Ground – Wrexham, Wales

England Championship

United Kingdom Soccer

12:30 PM ET. Wrexham has long been defined by one of the strongest home-field advantages in the English pyramid. Anyone who has followed the club’s rise, popularized through the Ryan Reynolds–documentary, understands that the atmosphere in North Wales is not theoretical. It’s real and it’s loud when it matters.

The Red Dragons have been on a steady upward trajectory for several seasons, but the current campaign has stalled. Anchored in mid-table, Wrexham has not won in its last five matches and owns a modest 4-5-2 home record this season at the Racecourse Ground. Historically, this matchup has also leaned heavily one way—Wrexham has never beaten Sheffield United, with the Blades controlling the head-to-head narrative.

From a pure form perspective, it’s easy to see why the market leans toward Sheffield United. The Blades sit 18th in the table, climbing out of relegation danger and trending upward. Their recent form percentage sits around 75%, compared to Wrexham’s 42%, and they arrive off a statement 3–0 win over Birmingham—widely regarded as one of the Championship’s stronger sides. That result alone carries weight.

But this is exactly where recency bias takes hold. Just months ago, this fixture might have been priced very differently, potentially with Wrexham favored at home. Instead, a confluence of recent results and historical head-to-heads has pushed Wrexham out to a 200+ underdog on its own pitch. That swing is sharp—and telling.

Boxing Day football exists outside normal logic. It’s where narratives bend, crowds dictate tempo, and emotion levels the gap between sides on very different trajectories. While the form guide points one way, the situational setup points another. A home crowd primed for a holiday upset, a proud club overdue for a response, and a price inflated by recent memory all combine here. Wrexham winning in Wales on Boxing Day may shock the spreadsheets—but crazier things happen every year. At the price offered, we’re willing to find out.

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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Hyde United +225 (To Win in Full Time) over ASHTON UNITED

Hurst Cross – Ashton-under-Lyne, England

Northern Premier League

United Kingdom Soccer

10:00 AM ET..Boxing Day in the United Kingdom is the British equivalent of Christmas Day in the NBA, March Madness, or New Year’s Day in college football—a time when emotions run high and outcomes regularly defy logic. It’s also a place where rivalries renew and when the unthinkable happens.

While Ashton United and Hyde United may not be household names, their rivalry carries the same ferocity as far more famous derbies in the Greater Manchester area. Both compete in the Northern Premier League, and both are rooted in Tameside, just east of Manchester, separated by little more than a short bus ride. The Red Robins and the Tigers have decades of shared history, resentment, and local pride wrapped into one volatile matchup.

Recent history heavily favors Ashton, and that’s the key to this price. Hyde haven’t beaten Ashton in nearly three years, are winless in the last four meetings, and have managed just one victory in their last six matches overall. On top of that, the Tigers must travel to Hurst Cross, traditionally a difficult venue for visitors. Ashton sit seventh in the table, hovering just outside playoff territory, while Hyde are scrapping to avoid relegation. All of this feeds the perception that Ashton is the “safe” side.

But derbies—and especially Boxing Day derbies—rarely follow safe narratives. Dig deeper and the gap isn’t as wide as it looks. The last three meetings between these sides have all ended level: a 2–2 draw two years ago followed by consecutive 1–1’s in last year’s campaign. Even when Ashton has won during this stretch, it’s been by the thinnest of margins. Hyde haven’t been blown off the pitch; they’ve stayed competitive, disruptive, and dangerous

That’s why Hyde United is live here. Rivalry intensity, historical closeness, and the Red Robins’ inflated perception combine to create value. At better than two-to-one odds, the Tigers pulling off the upset is far more plausible than the odds suggest. On Boxing Day, with pride on the line, we’re backing the Tigers to roar at Hurst Cross.   

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

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