BEST LINES: Pinnacle +111 Bet365 +105 SportsInteraction +110 5DIMES +107

Posted at 12:15 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. OT included. We faded the Flyers in their last game versus Chicago, citing that Brian Elliott was a weak option that can’t be trusted while Corey Crawford was having a great season so far. As it turned out, Elliott had his best game of the year and Philadelphia won despite being out-Corsied, 57-41 and being out-chanced by wide margin too. It happens. Every goalie in this league is capable of getting very lucky or being in the “zone” but that doesn’t change our position. We have to stick with it so we’ll reiterate that that Elliott has some of the worst under the hood numbers among all qualified goaltenders. His chances of another great game here are slim with the more likely scenario being that he gives up more goals than the Flyers will score.

Minnesota is not playing great hockey but they’re coming off a confidence boosting 3-0 win in Montreal and anytime we can take back a price with the superior goaltending, we know we have a great chance to win that bet and that applies here. The fade on Elliott will continue when Philadelphia is favored in this range against a team that is probably better than they are anyway. The analytics do not like either one of these teams right now but the Wild's numbers might be negatively skewed because they had a boatload of key injuries when the season began and well into the first month. Minnesota’s numbers will very likely improve under Bruce Boudreau and we’re the beneficiaries of that here in this price.

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