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L.A. Chargers @ DALLAS
L.A. Chargers -1 -108 over DALLAS

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1 -108 Bet365 -1½ -110 SportsInteraction -1 -115  5DIMES -1 -110

Posted at 10:30 AM EST

4:30 PM EST. It’s Thanksgiving. It’s late November and things start to become clearer this time of year, as the cream rises to the top and the imposters fall out of the picture. We start to get a real sense of who is who and what it what.

There is a swagger and arrogance to the Dallas Cowboys that starts at the top and works its way down from Jerry Jones. The Cowboys went 13-3 last year and were just about everyone’s choice to repeat as NFC East champs. After a 27-7 thrashing by the Falcons to run its record to 5-4, Dallas had to make a stand last Sunday night at home to the Eagles. They led 9-7 at halftime and looked to be making an inspired run at the high-flying Eagles without Ezekiel Elliott, Tryon Smith and Sean Lee (who, to the surprise of nobody, is hurt again). Then came the second half. Dallas got humiliated and outscored 30-0. In the two games without Elliott and Smith, the Cowboys have been outscored 64-16, including 47-0 in the second half of those games. With Elliott still out among others, the ‘Boys depth has been tested and they have received about the worst grade possible. Four days later and feeling helpless, Dallas is not a team we want to get behind right now.

The Chargers feasted on five interceptions from rookie Nathan Peterman last week and only lost to the Jaguars by an overtime field goal the previous week. They have a chance at a Wildcard in that "if we win out and..." sort of way but the good news is that they believe it. The Chargers defense has been underrated all year but the losses have masked just how good they are. No opponent has scored more than 26 points on them all year. The problem is that the Chargers haven't scored more than 27 points in any game until last week but one dominant week can do wonders to a teams’ psyche. That momentum could easily carry over here. The Chargers discovered the secret to their offensive woes was finding ways to get the ball into the hands of their best players. Keenan Allen, their best receiver, got season highs in targets, catches, yards and touchdowns against the Bills. To get Allen loose, the Chargers moved him to different positions on the field, even getting him a rushing attempt early in the first quarter. The team made it a point to send the ball in the direction of Hunter Henry and rookie Mike Williams too. It helped open things up for Melvin Gordon, and the Chargers were able to have their best, most balanced game of the season. They’ll face a Dallas defense missing linebacker Sean Lee, the heart of the Cowboys.

This is essentially a playoff elimination game for the loser, with both teams on the fringes of their postseason races. The Chargers have plenty of momentum, recovering from disaster in Jacksonville to thump the Bills. They get a bit of a head start because Dallas played the Sunday night game. That matters because every edge does in this sport. It seems as if the Chargers are catching the Cowboys at the right time, as timing matters also. The Chargers will have the better players on the field, they are in the better state of mind, they have momentum and they have the true belief that something good is happening. Lastly, Pinnacle Sports was the first outfit to have the Chargers -2½ yesterday when everyone else was at -2. That matters also because when that outfit takes a position, it is more noteworthy than any statistic.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks

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Our Pick

L.A. Chargers -1 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

N.Y. Giants @ WASHINGTON
N.Y. Giants +7 -106 over WASHINGTON

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +6½ -106 Bet365 +7 -120 SportsInteraction +7 +100  5DIMES +7 -110

Posted at 10:30 AM EST

8:30 PM EST. This a tough spot for the Redskins. Before last week, Washington was 4-5 and still had a slim shot at the playoffs. They went toe-to-toe with the newly crowned Saints as a +9 point pooch and should have won if not for a complete fourth quarter meltdown. The 'Skins have now lost four of five and any shot at the postseason is now over. How are they supposed to get up for this game on a short week? While we rarely discuss injuries, it's impossible to ignore the infirmary in D.C. The Redskins offensive line has been decimated, their starting tailback is a rookie runner with two starts under his belt, and quarterback Kurt Cousins is still missing his favorite target, tight end, Jordan Reed. With 15 players on IR, Washington looks like the walking wounded. As they proved last week in New Orleans as well as in games against the Rams and Seahawks, the Redskins are capable of playing at a high level, but on the other side of that coin, Washington barely escaped a date with the 49ers and got trounced by the Cowboys.

Just to recap, the ‘Skins had a 31-16 lead late in the fourth quarter last week with their playoff hopes on the line. The Saints needed two TD’s with a two-point conversion just to tie it and they did. They also had to win it in OT which they did also. That loss was devastating and near impossible to bounce back from. Lastly, teams’ that lost in OT on Sunday who then play on Thursday are 5-23 ATS but this ‘Skins loss was about as bad as it gets. Kirk Cousins now has the unenviable task of trying to rally guys when they all know he won’t even be around next year.

The Giants' season was over long ago, so there is no worry about a letdown here after a surprising 12-9 home win over the Chiefs. A win over playoff bound K.C. shows that the Giants heads are still in this and now they play a hated rival on National TV. There is no doubt the G-Men are playing for pride at this point but misery loves company, and they have a chance to put the final nail in the Redskins coffin. 2017 might be the last season of “Manning” faces in New York, but Eli stepped out of his comfort zone last week with an uncharacteristically emotional speech before the K.C. game and his teammates responded. If this is Manning's swan song in New York, he's seems determined not to go out on a sour note. While the Giants are just 2-8 overall, where it counts, at the window, they are 4-3 when it comes to covering games when taking back a price this season. Big Blue has also been a high percentage play when battling the Redskins over the years by going 6-2 straight up and against the spread.

For the ‘Skins, last week’s heartbreaking loss comes on the heels of the Redskins losing a one score game to the Vikings in Week 10. The 'Skins have played two of the top teams in the NFC the last couple of weeks, and while they take a big step down in competition here, their mindset and plight has drastically changed from where it was two weeks ago when they still had playoff aspirations. Cover? Hell, we’d be surprised if the ‘Skins won, let alone cover. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks

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Our Pick

N.Y. Giants +7 -106 (Risking 2.00 units - To Win: 2.00)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday000.000.00
Last 30 Days9160.00-11.76
Season to Date39370.00+9.72
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