Feb 16, 2018 19:44:15
Before I make the bet wanted to see if you have an opinion on the LA Angels over 83.5 wins this season. Last year they finished 80-82 with Trout missing 40 games. This year they signed Japanese superstar Ohtani which could be a monster addition once he adjusts, re-signed Justin Upton who they picked up last year, and went out and got Kinsler and Cozart to shore up the infield. They also get their top starter Garrett Richards back after missing most of last season, as well as adding Ohtani to the starting rotation. I think this team can take the weak west division and with the new additions I don't see why they can't add 4 wins to their total from last season if they can stay healthy. Am I missing something here??
Reid, I think you make some excellent observations and it all makes sense to me. However, I am an under player in totals because of all the inevitable injuries that will occur. Indeed, if the Halos stay healthy, the number looks beatable but Richards has never been able to stay healthy for an extended period. Every spring, a temptation arises to declare the onrushing season The Year. This will be The Year that the Angels break through and make good on the fact that they have Mike Trout.
Ohtani reinforces the team at its weakest position (starting pitcher), gives them a viable option at designated hitter when he's not pitching and finally gives Trout a running buddy with a performance level that can potentially come within sniffing distance of his own. It looks good for sur, it has my endorsement and I hope it wins for you but it won't be making my board only because my focus is on unders. GOOD LUCK!!!
Feb 16, 2018 12:19:58
Hi Brian! I've heard you say numerous times in your podcasts that you should never pay to buy an extra 1/2 point or extra point on spread bets which makes perfect sense. I'm with you when you say that if you feel you need of buying that extra point or half point "why even bother betting that game". I would just like to know your thoughts on the flip side of that. Pinnacle also give you the option of selling a half point or point taking back a price. Is this something that you have ever done or considered doing since when you bet a game you feel good enough about it that you expect it to win and cover easily? Thanks again for everything that you do and for helping to teach us to be better sports bettors.
I always add points and take back a bigger price for that exact reason Paul. For anyone not sure what we're referring to here......Let's say Butler is a 6-point fav over DePaul...instead of lowering it to 5.5 and paying moire juice (buying a half point), one can sell points also and move the number to let's say -7.5 and take back +160.....That is something I do ALL the time Paul, expecially in parlays. Great to see you are "on the ball" and it's something I'll discuss in my next podcast. Incidentally, you can find this option in the "Alternative point-spread" sections".
Feb 11, 2018 09:35:20
I took the Coyotes at +115 yesterday on Bet365. As the game went into a shootout, Bet365 offered a cashout option for me for $29. If I would have let it ride, the potential payout would have been $35. I decided to cash out as I felt it was a good deal at $29 for a $16 wager. They usually lowball quite a bit on cashouts and Iwas expecting something around $22. My question is do you ever recommend using cashout for bets going into O/T or shootout?
RV: I think you absolutely made the right call because the payout offer was so close to the winning amount. You caught them napping a bit. If I like the offer, I'll take it but like you said, the offers are usually lowball ones. In this rare instance it was not and you made the right call. If you like the payout going into a SHOOTOUT or OT and won't regret it should you're team win, yes, take it but DO NOT TAKE LOWBALL OFFERS of less than 75% of your actual win amount. That won't pay off over time.