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Houston @ TULANE
TULANE +7 -110 over Houston

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +7½ -111 Bookmaker +7½ -110 SportsInteraction +7½ -110 5DIMES +7½ -110

Posted at 2:15 PM EST. 

8:00 PM EST. Tulane went 6-25 last season and it also went 3-15 in the conference. This year, the Green Wave are 11-6 overall but they’ve lost three of their last four and have been bottom feeding for years. In other words, the Green Wave has about as much credibility right now as Kevin Spacey does in Hollywood. However, Tulane is much improved this year with several notable strong performances, which includes a win over SMU, a seven-point loss at Memphis and a 10-point win over Temple. We’re not here to gloat over the Green Wave however, as this is all about fading the Cougars in a horrible spot.    

It might be a bit disconcerting to Kelvin Sampson to know his team is about as good (very) as it was last season, yet his previous group was left on the outside looking in at tournament time. This season, however, nonconference wins over Arkansas, Providence and Wake Forest have improved the Cougars' tournament profile at least to the point where Lunardi's projecting them as a bubble team right now. Houston might or might not make the 2018 NCAA tournament but if the Cougs do get that far, they could bust some brackets. The first order of business for the Cougars will be putting together a profile worthy of an at-large bid in case it comes to that. Houston has won six of seven and overall it is 14-3 (4-1 in conference) with only loss over that span occurring in Wichita State and that’s our focus here, as the Cougars have the Shockers on deck in Houston on Saturday. That game at home against the Shockers is of mammoth importance. A win over Wichita gives Houston's at-large chances a significant boost while a win or loss here means next to nothing. Situationally speaking, put the points in your pocket and don’t be surprised to see the dog win this one outright in a huge look-ahead spot for the favorite. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

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Our Pick

#750 TULANE +7 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

Nevada @ San JOSE ST
San JOSE ST +16 -108 over Nevada

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +16 -106 Bookmaker +16 -110 SportsInteraction +16 -110 5DIMES +16 -110

Posted at 2:30 PM EST. 

10:30 PM EST. For the Spartans of San Jose State, it looks terrible on paper. They are 3-14 overall and 0-6 in conference play, but we are not in the business of breaking down X's and O's. Instead, we're on the lookout for undervalued teams in good situations and SJSU fits the bill. Although the Spartans are winless in the Mountain West, they have challenged a pair of conference foes after going to overtime with UNLV and getting out to a double-digit lead over Colorado but both games ended in a loss.

Nevada is the class of the Mountain West after winning both the regular season and conference tournament in 2017. There is no doubt they have the talent to cover this number, but you are going to pay an inflated price to back one of the premium mid-majors. The Wolf Pack have dominated the Spartans over the years including a 10-year undefeated stretch in San Jose, but this is the largest number this group has been asked to cover in recent memory. Nevada was spotting -6½ last season and now you can add double digits to that this season and start to get an understanding of these inflated points. Lastly, Nevada has second place Boise State on deck and that’s the only team that has a legit chance of catching the Wolf Pack so their collective minds has that one, not this one at the top of their priority list. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

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Our Pick

#784 San JOSE ST +16 -108 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

Iowa @ RUTGERS
#742 RUTGERS +103 over Iowa

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +6½ -109 Bookmaker +6 -110 SportsInteraction +6 -110 5DIMES +6 -110

Posted at 2:15 PM EST. 

7:00 PM EST. The Scarlet Knights have lost five of their last six games including an eye-opening 22-point beat down at the hands of Ohio State on Sunday. While that result looks bad on paper, Rutgers dug itself a hole by scoring just 15-points in the first half. Poor shooting has been the Knights' biggest problem lately with leading scorer Corey Sanders' 25.4% shooting the last two games being the highlight of their struggles but a correction is likely coming. Rutgers is a very disciplined team, as it had just five turnovers against the Buckeyes. Usually, when a team gets blown out it is because they are sloppy with the basketball, but for Rutgers, that is not the case. When they are at their best, the Scarlet Knights play a suffocating half-court defense that is backed up by their 62.1 points allowed per game, which is good for 9th in the nation and 1st in the Big Ten. According to KenPom, Rutgers also ranks 27th in America in adjusted defense ahead of teams like #1 Villanova and #18 Kentucky.

Iowa may appear to be on its way up after a 104-97 overtime win over Illinois, but if you watched that game, you know how fortunate the Hawkeyes were to get the W after trailing 49-29 late in the first half against the worst team in the conference. That comeback was the third largest in school history, but being down 20-points against a school that is still winless in conference play is unacceptable. The Hawkeyes have owned Rutgers since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten with four straight wins, but that lopsided head-to-head record only inflates Iowa's price tonight.

For the Hawkeyes to be favored on the road against anyone in the Big Ten is a joke. Iowa was a 4½-point pooch at Illinois just one game ago. This five-point swing is huge and completely unjustified. Iowa absolutely belongs in the bottom of the Big Ten standings, but they are not being priced as such. While the basement of the Big Ten might seem like familiar territory for the Scarlet Knights, this is not the same Rutgers team that was brought in to be the doormat of the conference. Rutgers has taken its lumps in conference play going just 1-5, but they've played the best the Big Ten has to offer including #3 Purdue, #9 Michigan State (twice), #22 Ohio State and Minnesota back in November when the Golden Gophers were still rolling a full strength. This host is battle tested and taking a big step down in competition tonight. Tack on the fact that Iowa has #3 Purdue coming to Iowa City on Saturday, and this trip to Jersey might be nothing more than an inconvenience. If Iowa is as nonchalant to start this game as it was in Illinois, history isn't likely to be repeated. The Knights are still much undervalued in this market, which is something we’re always looking to pounce on. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.

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Our Pick

#742 RUTGERS +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Yesterday110.00+0.28
Last 30 Days17130.00+8.56
Season to Date31270.00+10.04
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