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NASHVILLE - +114 over St. Louis

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +114 Bet 365 -½ +105 SportsInteraction -½ +105 5DIMES -½ +110

Posted at 11:30 AM EST

12:00 PM EST. Regulation only. This is an odd time for a game to start in Nashville and it’s all to accommodate NBC showcasing this game. That works in the Predators favor simply because they’re at home, where they are just so difficult to beat and they’re the better team by a wide margin. There is a good chance that the Blue Notes will use Carter Hutton here because Jake Allen was yanked in his last start and because Hutton is a former Pred that would obviously like to face the team that didn’t want him and we can live with whatever goaltender the Blues choose because it matters not. For one, Jake Allen is shaky as ever and his confidence is low. If it’s Hutton, the Preds know every single one of his weaknesses because they were firing away on him in practice for years. Hutton is having a decent year to be sure but we’re not buying, as he’s been too shaky for too long to be trusted.

The Blues are coming off a 4-0 home loss to the Jets to run their losing streak to five games. They have scored seven times in those five games. There are a lot of different type of metrics to look at and it’s something we like to explore. The challenge is trying to figure out which metrics are relevant and which are not. We put emphasis on puck possession numbers because it gives us a good indication of which team will push the play and create more chances. Other metrics that are good indication of which teams are real or not or lucky or not are Expected Goals For (xGF) and Expected Goals Against (xGA) and here we find one of the reasons the Blue Notes are struggling to win games and will continue to struggle. Over the past five weeks, St. Louis ranks dead last (31st) in the league in xGF while the Preds rank third. In xGA, the Blues rank 3rd over the past five weeks but the Preds rank 10th so the big discrepancy is in xGF. These under the hood numbers confirm that the Blues are an old school type team that go out and try to win 2-1 and 3-2 games. That hasn’t worked for them for years and now the league is changing while the Blue Notes are not.

Nashville is healthy, they’re playing at a high level and they’re also one of the hottest teams in the league that started heating up as soon as Ryan Ellis returned. That’s no coincidence.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks


Our Pick

NASHVILLE - +114 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.28)

Detroit @ N.Y. RANGERS
N.Y. RANGERS - +139 over Detroit

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +139 Bet 365 -½ +130 SportsInteraction -½ +130 5DIMES -½ +135

Posted at 11:20 AM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. For months we were fading the Rangers when they were winning while insisting that they were nothing but a bunch of imposters that were getting very lucky. The NHL media and most bettors play results. Now that the Rags are losing, that same group are calling them a dumpster fire. Now that the Rangers are losing every game, their stock has hit rock bottom. The trading of Rick Nash to the Bruins adds to the Rangers stock falling, as management has thrown in the proverbial white towel on the season. All of that is true but we couldn’t care less.

We are in the business of buying low and the New York Rangers would’ve been -170 favorite against Detroit at MSG three weeks ago just like they were back in late November. The argument is that the Rangers are worse now and they’re without Nash, Ryan McDonagh and Michael Grabner. That's true too but but so what. Chris Kreider is back and so is Pavel Buchnevich. Both those guys are impact players. The Rags have brought up some young D-men and they look much better and quicker than those useless defenders they had before. The replacements bring youth, energy and determination because they are trying to prove they belong. When you look at the Rags roster now, it doesn’t look worse to us.

The first line is rock solid with Kreider back in:

Chris Kreider – Mika Zibanejad – Pavel Buchnevich

The second line could play for any team in this league:

Jimmy Vesey – Kevin Hayes – Mats Zuccarello

The bottom six, J.T. Miller - David Desharnais - Jesper Fast -- Anthony DeAngelo – Vinni Lettieri – Paul Carey are all capable and belong at this level. With Grabner and Nash gone, it opens the door for guys like Carey, who was a prolific scorer in college and has shown signs of that brilliance at this level and Lettieri, who looks dangerous ever so often. The Rags may have thrown in the towel but they have not quit and now that the market has jumped off, we’re jumping on when it’s warranted like it is here.  

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks


Our Pick

N.Y. RANGERS - +139 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.78)

RangeWLP+/- (Units)
Last 30 Days25320.00-3.54
Season to Date1301550.00+9.79
Sports Interaction
Sports Interaction