Posted at 10:15 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  +116   BET365 +110 Sportsinteraction +110 888Sport  +110

Cincinnati +116 over Seattle

9:40 PM EST. Hunter Greene (RHP - CIN) took the loss in his last turn versus the Brewers, but it wasn’t a total disaster despite giving up six earned runs across his six innings pitched, as he only walked one and struck out nine. In his first two turns, Greene had not allowed more than two runs, and while it is early, his xERA clocks in at 2.53, which is lower than the 4.86 he sports on the surface. Furthermore, Greene has been a bit unlucky, as he’s on the wrong side of fortune in both his strand rate (66%) and his Batting Average of Balls in Play (BABIP) (.308). Greene’s surface stats might scare away some in the market today, but we are not going to be deterred by sticking with him for another start, as he moves on from one of the hottest-hitting teams in baseball to one that is currently swinging a wet pool noodle at the plate.

Logan Gilbert (RHP - SEA) is among one of the best young arms in the game, and truth be told, as an underdog, he is a pitcher that we’d consider taking a long look at any time he took the mound in such a situation. However, that is not the case here, as the Mariners are favored in a range that might be a bit too spendy for a team that can’t score runs. Even if Gilbert is great, and that’s a realistic possibility, the M’s are still the second-worst team in all over baseball behind only the Twins versus right-handed pitching, as they are hitting a puny .203 thus far. The M’s put up nine runs last night to take the opener 9-3, but that is by far their largest output of runs in a single game this season, and they could only muster seven total in their three games versus the Cubs last weekend. If the Mariners hang another crooked number tonight, so be it, but the juice that must be paid to find out is not worth the squeeze.

Sherwood

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