Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:20 PM EST.
8:10 PM EST. Gerrit Cole has quietly regained his ace form but he’s certainly not priced like it here. In fact, you would be hard pressed to find four starters in the entire game that have been better than Cole since the All-Star break and he keeps getting better. Over his last 12 starts Cole is 5-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Over his last 33 frames, he has whiffed 36 batters with a skill supported 14% swing and miss rate. This season, Cole has walked a mere 47 batters in 181 innings, which is close to one walk every four innings. An emphasis on getting ahead early in the count with some filthy pitches increases his value here against a Brewers team that strikes out often. Throw in his elite batted ball profile of 50% grounders, 17% line-drives and 33% fly-balls and one gets a clear picture of just how good Cole is and has been for weeks. That he’s taking back anything against Brent Suter is a steal.
Brent Suter has walked six batters and struck out five over his past nine frames covering two starts and one relief appearance. Suter caught lightning in a bottle earlier this year before reality and set in and so he was subsequently related to bullpen duty. However, with the injury to Jimmy Nelson, Suter is now forced back into the rotation after a month in the ‘pen. His last start was on Aug 12 against the Reds in which he lasted five innings, walked four and allowed five earned runs. Dude threw 100 pitches in five frames. Brent Suter’s fastball averages 84.9 MPH. He has poor control and a 3.00 WHIP over his last 14 innings pitched, which is the equivalent of pitching with the bases loaded every inning. What makes Suter appealing is his shiny 3.55 ERA but don’t buy it. Instead, sell his 6.91 xERA as a starter. Wrong side favored.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
Pittsburgh +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)