Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST.
9:10 PM EST. Jharel Cotton finally found his strikeout pitch in his last outing by whiffing nine Rangers (with 0 walks), after previously striking out more than five hitters in a game only once since May 9th. A 15% swing and miss rate in that last outing confirm he had good stuff so we’ll keep an eye out today to see if that was an isolated incident or the beginning of a strong season-finishing kick. We know for sure that Cotton has the ability to dominate because his filthy stuff has been on display before. Jharel Cotton is not the target here, as Yovani Gallardo remains high on our fade list priorities.
Gallardo has worked out of the rotation and out of the bullpen this year for a total of 25 appearances covering 123 innings. Last year, he appeared in 23 games over 118 innings but missed two months with a shoulder injury after a rough April. Things hardly improved upon his return and nothing has changed this year. In fact, it’s getting worse while the innings increase. This year, Gallardo has posted career-worst command with a vile BB/K split of 56/90 over 123 frames. He’s also posted the worst skills and xERA of his career while his 53% first-pitch strike rate continues to speak to his strained relationship with the strike zone. The pitcher you remember from 2009-12 no longer exists and it’s not getting any better. This is one of baseball’s riskiest favorites that must be faded because his chances of losing are greater than his chances of winning every time he’s handed the ball.
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Oakland +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)