San Francisco @ MIAMI
MIAMI -1½ +129 over San Francisco

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +129 Bet365 -1½ +125 SportsInteraction -1½ +120 5DIMES -1½ +126

Posted at 8:30 AM EST.

1:10 PM EST. Jose Urena is carrying an xERA nearly a run-and-a-quarter higher than his 3.76 surface mark. He struggled against San Fran earlier this season (July 9) and he's coming off an iffy home outing in his last. That being noted, the foe here warrants this play. The Giants are woeful against right-handers and fly-ball types. They are a bottom-3 offense closing out a road trip which included a doubleheader and a 3,000-mile flight home awaits them Wednesday evening. San Fran may show up in body only.

The Marlins lost 9-4 last night but it was against Madison Bumgarner and they still scored four times. The night before in the opener of this series, Miami scored eight times and now this wicked dangerous offense will face Matt Cain. Cain is simply awful and perhaps the worst starter in the game. If the Giants had any chance of making the postseason or if they weren’t paying him a fortune, you would not see this stiff anywhere near the pitching mound. Cain has a rancid 45 walks issued with 61 K’s in 109 innings. His WHIP is 1.68, his swing and miss rate is 4% and his line-drive rate is 27%. Matt Cain does nothing well except collect his pay-check. Matt Cain is being paid 20 million this season, which is absolutely the only reason he’s still pitching. Cain brings an xERA of 5.22 into this start but that’s because he’s started 12 of his 22 games at home, which is the friendliest pitcher’s park in the majors. On the road, Cain is 0-6 with a 7.69 ERA and an xERA of 8.11. We can’t imagine that the Giants get up for a game knowing that Cain is starting. We’re recommending you get in very early on this line because there is a great chance that the Giants will be resting some of their vets because this is an early start after a night game. Not only do the Marlins have a serious advantage on the mound, they have a serious advantage everywhere else  and now you can add a situational advantage for the icing on the cake. 

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Our Pick

MIAMI -1½ +129 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.58)

Boston +121 over Cleveland
Chicago +113 over Houston
Seattle -1½ +137 over Texas