L.A. Angels @ TORONTO
L.A. Angels +112 over TORONTO

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +112 Bet365 +105 SportsInteraction +120 5DIMES +110

Posted at 11:20 AM EST. 

1:05 PM EST. There was no miracle last night for the Jays, who went back to their losing ways after the weak playing A’s left town. It was Parker Bridwell this time that the Blue Jays made look like Max Scherzer and this afternoon they’ll face Yusmeiro Petit. Petit has not started a game this year but he’s got a bulldog mentality and has started 58 games over his career while appearing in 233 games. The name may not be familiar but Petit is a pitcher with great value (to his team) because he can thrive in any role. The market may view him as just another bullpen arm that is starting a game but that’s not the case at all. Petit has a starting pitcher’s arm and mentality. In fact, only Max Scherzer and Andrew Miller have posted better skills against RH batters so far in 2017 than Petit. He owns an amazing 34/2 K/BB in 24 IP against same-sided batters. The Jays are a heavy right-handed batting team with only Ryan Goins and Ezequiel Carrera (if he plays) being left-handed batters. Both Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales are switch-hitters. In 57 innings, Petit has 59 K’s, 12 walks and an xERA of 3.26.

It’s not rocket science when it comes to Francisco Liriano. If he’s throwing strikes, he can be very effective. If he’s not throwing strikes, he’ll be gone by the fourth inning. Liriano has walked 42 batters in 77 innings and has not made it out of the third inning in two of his last three starts. There is not a crystal ball in the world that can predict which version we’ll see today but Liriano has been far more erratic this year than he has in the previous few years, which makes him too big a risk. Nothing in Liriano’s profile is trending the right way so we like his chances of being poor better than his chances of being effective. Liriano’s 7.40 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in the month of July raise some major concerns, especially considering that three of those games started came at home. The Jays did not look good against Oakland, they looked lousy again last night and frankly, they’ve looked very beatable all year, yet they continue to be priced like they’re playing .500 or better. The fade continues.

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Our Pick

L.A. Angels +112 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.24)

Boston +121 over Cleveland
Chicago +113 over Houston
Seattle -1½ +137 over Texas