Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:30 AM EST.
8:30 PM EST. The Rams scored 12 points in about two minutes in Week 1 and went on to record a resonating 46-9 victory in that game while the 49ers are 0-2 with 12 points scored in two games. This market loves offense and the market perception here is that the 49ers have none. We shall see about that but what we do know is that the Los Angeles Rams have played two home games against two weak opponents and cannot be road chalk because of one big offensive output against the bumbling Colts. Jared Goff had all day to throw against Indy but things were different for him last week and they’ll be different for him here. Goff only managed 224 yards versus the Redskins last week in a loss and tossed just one touchdown. The 49ers D-line put great pressure on both Russell Wilson and Cam Newton and take a step down in class here against Jared Goff. Also, take note that the Rams defensive line was blown off the ball last week against an average Washington offensive line.
The Rams will now go on the road with their rookie QB for the first time this season with only three full days to prepare. Forget X’s and O’s for a sec and just consider how difficult it is to not only win on the road in this league but to do so being a weak team on short preparation. Wins and losses are the bottom line in any sport and in that regard, an 0-2 49ers’ squad that won two lousy games last year and five lousy games in 2015 is very difficult for this market to get behind. The Rams have a blowout victory already, which holds much more weight in this market than SF’s two losses in two games. That provides us with this opportunity.
While the Rams were facing Indianapolis and Washington, the 49ers had to deal with Seattle and Carolina’s defenses so it should come as no surprise that points for their offense were at a premium. After facing those two great defenses, a battle tested Brian Hoyer figures to be a lot more comfortable this week and chances are he’ll get a lot more time to make some plays. Brian Hoyer hasn't thrown a touchdown yet and the 49ers as a team still haven't found the end zone. Hoyer comes off a 99-yard effort in Seattle that was predictable facing a great defense in their stadium but Hoyer opened with 193 yards at home versus the Panthers. The Rams also have a weapon of their own this week that can match Todd Gurley and might be the best offensive weapon in this game. Carlos Hyde is healthy and comes off a 124-yard effort over the Seahawks on only 15 carries. He's adding a few receptions each week and could very easily go off for a monster game here.
With losses piling up over the past three seasons and two more in two games this year, the books have Kyle Shanahan’s squad as home dogs here but Shanahan’s freewheeling, keep-it-real manner is very good medicine. The 49ers are strong on both lines and claim to have had good weeks of practice and a good camp before their opener. They did not look overwhelmed in two difficult games and the message here is more about belief in each other than a canon of maxims. The Rams favored on the road is incorrect. 49ers outright get this call.
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SAN FRANCISCO +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)