BEST LINES: Pinnacle -7½ -106 Bet365 -7½ -110 SportsInteraction -7½ -110 5DIMES -110

Posted at 11:25 PM EST

7:30 PM EST. Before coming to Buffalo to coach the Bulls, Lance Leipold was a Division III legend at University of Wisconsin at Whitewater, where he won six championships from 2007 to 2014. Leipold was also the fastest coach to reach 100 NCAA victories, doing it in just 106 games and breaking a 93-year-old record.  In his first season in Buffalo Leipold took the Bulls to a 5-7 record, but went 2-10 last season.  So far this year Buffalo is 3-6, but with a contract through 2020, Leipold has time to get his house in order. The Bulls are coming off their bye. Prior to that, they lost a tight one, 21-20 to Akron but they outgained the Zips 454 to 367 while also winning the time of possession battle. The Bulls have lost their last two games by a total of two points. Buffalo could easily be 5-4 instead of 3-6 had a few more bounces gone its way. Don’t forget the Bulls had been without starting quarterback Tyree Jackson, who returned against the Zips and threw for 331 yards while bringing a nice balance to the offense. Speaking of which, Buffalo’s is averaging 409.6 yards of offense per game including 138.4 on the ground.  While the Bulls are a run first team, they do have one of the nation’s leaders (7th) in receiving yards as Anthony Johnson has put up 888 yards while adding six touchdowns and he’ll only get better with Jackson’s return. The Bulls are averaging 37 points per game which is why the total in this game is a blistering 60. Oddsmakers are expecting fireworks but only one of these teams is capable of putting up big points and that’s the Bulls.

Sure, Bowling Green’s 44-16 win last week might look good on paper but it was the ugliest game played all season. In front of about 26 people on a miserable Halloween night, the Falcons had their way with one of the country’s worst teams in Kent State. There is a reason that BGU has only two wins this season. This club is still dead last in the MAC against the run and tied for 10th against the pass. The fact is the Falcons can’t stop anybody. They’ve given up less than 20 points just once this season and that was last week at K-State. Before that, the Falcons allowed 48 points in back to back blowout losses to Northern Illinois and Ohio. The last two weeks have not been kind to BGU’s offensive line, as seniors  Tim McAuliffe and Clark Clancy are doubtful tonight, while guards Jack Kramer and Lorenzo Taborn are out. The Falcons have had major quarterback issues all season and a makeshift offensive line will not help.

In college football, it’s all about money, which is to say it’s all about making it to a bowl game. While Coach Leopold’s third season in Buffalo may look like a disappointment in the standings, there is still time to salvage the year and make it to the postseason. Leopold is a proven winner and unlike BGU, Buffalo is actually playing in some close games. Aside from last week’s win at Kent State and their Week 6 victory over Miami-OH, the Falcons have been destroyed in every other game they’ve played this season. This line opened with the Bulls laying 11 points but the market has pounded that number down to just 7½, which is an absolute steal. That BGU won by 28 points on National TV last Tuesday has influenced this number, thus providing us with this great opportunity to get behind a short-priced favorite.

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