Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:15 AM EST.
7:30 PM EST. We usually stay away from such high-profile games because the lines are so tight when compared to so many lesser games on the college football menu but this one is screaming out at us big time. It’s not often that the #4 ranked team in the country is being offered more than a converted TD but that’s the case here. The points look appealing indeed. Next, we have last week’s results working in Oklahoma’s favor. The Sooners laid wood on UTEP by beating them 56-7 in what was essentially a tune-up game for this one while Ohio State, as a 20-point favorite, struggled against Indiana for three quarters before finally putting them away. Flashing across the bottom of your TV screens last week was “Upset Alert” as the Buckeyes were trailing at halftime to the Hoosiers and the game remained very close until late in the third quarter. That also makes OSU a tough sell here. Finally, we have the “hook” on a key number (7) to make the dog look even more enticing and when you combine everything we just discussed above, boy oh boy do the points look good. We say, “Not so fast”.
You see, that hook is designed to attract action on the dog. The odds makers could’ve easily made the Buckeyes -7 and attract equal action but they didn’t. Even at +7, the Sooners would take plenty of money. That hook tips many of those on the fence to the Sooners side and we’re urging you to tip the other way. Last year it was evident that Ohio State had more overall talent on the field than Oklahoma, and this year the Buckeyes also enjoy home field and a coaching mismatch between future Hall of Famer Urban Meyer and newbie Lincoln Riley. Indiana couldn't run the ball on Ohio State and couldn't really protect, though it didn't matter for three quarters because Hoosiers quarterback Richard Lagow played pitch-and-catch with his excellent receivers so well. The Sooners are replacing its top two wideouts from last year plus 50 catches from departed running backs. The Oklahoma pass-catchers might have as much raw upside but right now this group is not as good as Indiana's. The bet here is that Ohio State will score at will and while the Sooners may trade punches for a while, it’ll be OSU that pulls away at the end. We like that OSU was battle tested in Week 1 while the Sooners were not. The odds makers like that too.
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#384 OHIO ST -7½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)