Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle   +102   BET365 -105  Sportsinteraction -105   888Sport -105 

Seattle +102 over Toronto

7:07 PM EST. George Kirby’s (RHP - SEA) impressive sophomore season came with several signs of growth. His MLB-best walk rate came with firm support from xBB%. His new split-finger helped drive his second half swing and miss spike. He held higher velocity over a heavier workload. Already with a strong floor given pinpoint control, he's a bona-fide ace if late whiffs translate to more Ks. Kirby took the loss Wednesday, allowing eight runs on 10 hits and no walks over 3.2 innings against the Guardians. He struck out two. Don’t put too much emphasis on one start because his xERA after two starts is 2.37 but his surface ERA of 5.35 has him way undervalued here. Kirby fills the zone with big velocity and solid secondaries.

Chris Bassitt (RHP - TOR) has outperformed his expected ERA in each of the past six seasons. His ability to induce soft contact has been the driver of his success. The average exit velocity against him has been in the game's top 20th percentile for the most of his career. That said, he carries some specific warning signs heading into 2024. For one, he's coming off the first consecutive 180+ IP seasons of his career. At age 35, we can't bank on him doing it a third time. Next, his ability to miss bats has gone from decent to subpar over the past three seasons: 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.7% and now he looks worse than ever. Dude’s luck has run out so start fading him when he’s favored.

Sherwood

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