San Diego @ San Francisco
San Francisco -106 over San Diego

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  -106 BET365 -110 Sportsinteraction -110  888Sport -110

San Francisco -106 over San Diego

9:05 PM EST. Michael King (RHP - SD) has had subpar results up to this point, with walks being the primary culprit. When you combine a HR/9 of 2.6 with a lack of control, this is what you get. He sports a pathetic 2% K-BB% through two outings (his first in relief of Joe Musgrove's effort in Korea), and issued seven walks in his last outing vs. San Francisco. He faces the Giants again - and we’re not sure why he and the Friars are favored.

Keaton Winn (RHP - SF) had a very decent debut start (5 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 1.00 WHIP vs. the Dodgers). We repeat, vs the Dodgers. He appears to have picked up right where he left off in his 2023 rookie season, with a bump in K%. Winn pitched at three MiLB levels in 2022 after missing 2020-21 (COVID, Tommy John surgery). He made his MLB debut in June, flashing an electric swing and miss rate (32% xK%), hefty groundball rate, and strong xBB%-backed control. Relies heavily on nasty splitter (55% usage, 18% swing and miss, 67% grounders). Wrong side favored.

Sherwood

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Our Pick

San Francisco -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

Cincinnati +124 over San Diego
Washington +165 over Houston
Cleveland +152 over Houston