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Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

Jamie Garcia's arrival in New York reduces the Yanks fifth starter problem that they’ve been dealing with all year. There are 29 other teams in the league that would like to have a fifth starter of Garcia’s caliber. The left-handed Garcia gets the "better side" of Yankee Stadium for opposite-handed batter HRs (+25%) but his 58% groundball tilt combined with a low (18%) line-drive rate should mitigate the park effects no matter where he pitches. His last start was on July 28 for the Twins. Prior to that, he pitched in Atlanta for the first four months of the season so he’s used to pitching in difficult venues. Garcia’s 4.05/3.87 ERA/xERA split reveals just how effective and consistent he’s been this season. The AL East is a better offensive division, and therefore not as awesome to pitch in but the Yankees are a better team, with a better offense themselves, and therefore provide more opportunities for Garcia to win.

Trevor Bauer continues to post strikeouts (9.9 K’s/9) but handing out more walks and allowing more line drives (38%) contributed to his 5.27 xERA in July. A matchup with New York's top-five offense (.340 OBA-third) vs. RHP lowers his chance of success. A haphazard pattern of skills and results are showing no signs of becoming predictable for Bauer. His batted ball profile of 44%/28%/28% groundballs/line-drives/fly-balls along with a shaky 54% first-pitch strike rate will prevent him from moving the needle further on his upside. Without gains there, he'll continue to be a true starting pitching wildcard, as shown by his well below average dominant start/disaster start splits over his entire career. Trevor Bauer is a big risk when favored and we want no part of him in that role.

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