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Posted at 1:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Arizona over Baltimore

7:05 PM EST. Cole Irvin (LHP - BAL) is notably on a shutout innings streak that has spanned three turns and 20.2 IP. There is no denying that is an impressive run, but there is also no denying that Cole’s stock is at a career-high. Dude is not as good as these results, and while he may continue to keep runs from scoring, now is the time to sell, as his strand rate over those three turns is a perfect 100%, his Batting Average of Balls in Play is a very fortunate .175, and while he posts a surface ERA of 0.00, of course, his xERA over those three starts is 3.50, which is not bad, but it’s not perfect.

Arizona will send out Brandon Pfaadt (RHP - ARI) after he last took the mound on Saturday versus the Padres, where he took the loss after giving up three earned runs over six innings while striking out four. While the result was not what he would have wanted, it was still his second straight quality start, where he owns a 15:0 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Pfaadt’s ERA is 4.61, but his xERA is 3.28, and he’s been unlucky with both a low strand rate of 61.4% and a high Batting Average of Balls in Play of .319. Unlike Irvin, Pfaadt is a prime “buy low” candidate, which makes this wager an easy one to make.

Sherwood

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