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Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Boston over Minnesota

8:10 PM EST. Tanner Houck has been excellent, throwing at least six innings with two earned runs or fewer in five of six starts. He has a 1.60 ERA and 2.58 xERA with a solid 23.2% K-BB and 13% swing-and-miss rate. Houck heads to Minnesota to take on a Twins' team that has struck out 24.9% of the time versus RHP over the past month while hitting .225 with a .178 ISO. In short, this is a great spot for him to shine.

When healthy and at his best, Chris Paddack (RHP - MIN) is a quality starting pitcher in this league, but the jury is still out as to whether he has fully recovered from Tommy John surgery. Paddack had a positive spring with some success on the mound, but that has not translated into the regular season, where he is getting hit hard. His ERA is a bloated 5.88, and it’s backed by an xERA that is just about as bad at 5.52. His strikeouts are down, his walks are up, and his average fastball velocity was down 2 mph in his last turn from its average.

Paddack did pick up the win in that last turn, last Saturday night over the Angels, but that is only because the Twins had the rare hot night at the plate, scoring nine runs in that game while he gave up eight hits across 5 IP and struck out just two. Nothing is trending in the right direction for Paddack, and he and the Twins should not be favored in this range versus a superior starting pitcher.

Sherwood

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