Pinnacle -1½ +181 BET365 -1½ +165 Sportsinteraction -1½ +165 888Sport -1½ +165

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Cincinnati -1½ +181 over Baltimore

6:10 PM EST. The Reds return home after dropping two of three in San Diego, and they are sending out Hunter Greene (RHP - CIN) to get back on track here with Baltimore visiting the Queen City. Greene picked up a win in his last start last Saturday when he allowed just one hit over seven shutout innings while striking out six and walking just one versus the World Series champion Rangers. In that turn, Greene was dealing, as 63 of his 98 pitches went for strikes, and he only allowed one runner to make it as far as third base. Through 34.2 innings, Greene has 42 Ks to 12 BBs with a sparkling xERA of 2.51 and WHIP of 1.10.

Meanwhile, the Orioles will go with Cole Irvin (LHP - BAL) for his sixth turn of the year, but with Kyle Bradish and John Means returning this week, his leash for a seventh could be short. Irvin has been average with an xERA of 4.21 to go with just 18 Ks to 7 BBs in 28.1 innings. Furthermore, Irvin’s swing-and-miss rate is in the toilet, as it sits at just 5.7%, which means he’s not fooling anyone at the plate. With a total of 9 and with this game being played in a hitter’s park like Great American, we are going to trust that the Reds are going to get their chances to plate some runs on Irvin before he gets bounced to the bullpen.

Sherwood

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Play:

Pinnacle +113 BET365 +105 Sportsinteraction +105 888Sport +105

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Boston over Minnesota

8:10 PM EST. Tanner Houck has been excellent, throwing at least six innings with two earned runs or fewer in five of six starts. He has a 1.60 ERA and 2.58 xERA with a solid 23.2% K-BB and 13% swing-and-miss rate. Houck heads to Minnesota to take on a Twins' team that has struck out 24.9% of the time versus RHP over the past month while hitting .225 with a .178 ISO. In short, this is a great spot for him to shine.

When healthy and at his best, Chris Paddack (RHP - MIN) is a quality starting pitcher in this league, but the jury is still out as to whether he has fully recovered from Tommy John surgery. Paddack had a positive spring with some success on the mound, but that has not translated into the regular season, where he is getting hit hard. His ERA is a bloated 5.88, and it’s backed by an xERA that is just about as bad at 5.52. His strikeouts are down, his walks are up, and his average fastball velocity was down 2 mph in his last turn from its average.

Paddack did pick up the win in that last turn, last Saturday night over the Angels, but that is only because the Twins had the rare hot night at the plate, scoring nine runs in that game while he gave up eight hits across 5 IP and struck out just two. Nothing is trending in the right direction for Paddack, and he and the Twins should not be favored in this range versus a superior starting pitcher.

Sherwood

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Play:

Pinnacle +133 BET365  +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888Sport +125

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Miami over Oakland

9:40 PM EST. Look, this is not a great pitching matchup, but that’s precisely the point, as the Athletics and J.P. Sears (RHP - OAK) cannot be favored in this range against the Marlins. Sears took the loss in his last start last Saturday where he gave up seven runs on eight hits, including three long bombs over 6.1 IP. Sears did retire the first nine batters he faced, but after that, the O’s went to work the next time through the order. Sears has just 24 Ks in 33 IP and he’s also walked 11. His xERA is 4.72 and he’s been lucky with a Batting Average of Balls in Play of .223, and if there is a correction to that lower-than-average number, the runs are going to come pouring in.

As for the Marlins, they’ll go with Ryan Weathers (RHP - MIA), who will make his seventh start of the year. We’re not going to sugarcoat Weathers’s pedestrian numbers, but we’ll note that he does have the pedigree of a former 7th overall pick, and he’s just 24 years old, so it’s not like he's a washed-up journeyman. Weathers had a rough go in his last start, but prior to that, he had pitched pretty well. That said, regardless of who the Fish send out today, the A’s are still spotting an inflated price, as this game is far closer to a 50/50 proposition than the odds would suggest. That’s a wager, friends.

Sherwood

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Play: