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Posted at 2:00 PM ET. Odds are subject to change
Southend United +190 (To Win in Full Time) over Forest Green
The New Lawn – Nailsworth, England
England National League – Playoffs
2:45 PM ET. The story heading into this National League playoff clash isn’t just about how these two sides got here—it’s about what the market is quietly telling us now.
Forest Green Rovers have been a model of consistency. They topped the table at one point and never dropped below third all season. At home, they’ve been dominant—losing just once in Gloucestershire while posting 52 points and a +21 goal differential. It’s a fortress, and they’ve made it count.
Southend United’s path couldn’t have been more different. The Shrimpers were buried as low as 18th, still sitting 16th deep into the winter. But when the calendar flipped to 2025, something clicked. Southend caught fire, climbed the table, and snuck into the playoff bracket in the final week of the season. It’s a Cinderella arc, and while many expect the magic to run out here, the betting line tells another story.
Despite Forest Green’s resume—despite their elite home form and Southend’s middling 7-10-6 road record—the Rovers are priced at just +160 in full time. Southend is sitting right there with them at +170. That’s not what you expect from a side with Forest Green’s dominance, especially on their own turf. The market is hesitant for a reason.
The line suggests this is closer to a pick’em than the narrative implies. It says Southend are not only live—they may actually be the better side right now. And with early action leaning Green, we’re getting an even better price on the visitors.
The market may not buy the Shrimpers’ storybook surge, but the oddsmakers see what’s underneath: Southend’s form is real, and this isn’t just a feel-good run. It’s a live dog with teeth. We’re backing the Shrimpers to win it inside 90.
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Our Pick
Southend United (To Win in Full Time) +190 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.80)