Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Los Angeles +139 over Toronto
8:07 PM EST. OT included. We catch the Maple Leafs here coming home from a five-game trip that ended in Nashville on Saturday night for a one-off game back at home in Toronto here before they head back out on the road for a big game with the Bruins on Thursday night in Boston. Not only are the Leafs jet-setting around the continent, but they are doing so without their full force of defensemen, as Jake McCabe (groin) and Timothy Liljegren (upper body) both are questionable for tonight.
The shufflings on the backend are not the only moves that Toronto coach Sheldon Keefe has made lately, as he’s begun to play William Nylander and top star Auston Matthews on the penalty kill unit, where Mitch Marner was already spending time. Matthews logged 2:14 on the PK against the Predators on a night he played 21:50, a team-high for the forward group. Toronto had won three straight prior to that 3-2 overtime loss in Nashville, but it was outshot in a 4-1 win over Dallas (32-to-24) and was also oputshot in a 4-1 lucky win over Washington in which the Leafs were badly oputshot, 38-to-17. There is no shame in getting outshot by an outfit like the Stars, but getting dominated by the lowly Capitals is a different story.
The Kings are 4-2-2 after dropping a shootout decision to the defending Stanley Cup champion Golden Knights on Saturday, but they outshot Vegas 39-to-30 and dominated every underlying metric you want to shake your stick at. In fact, the Kings have dictated the pace in all but one of their games this season, which was their season opener in Colorado. Since then, L.A. has shown up with their lunch buckets to play hard every night. That is the kind of team that we can get behind as an underdog. The Kings have played well on the road this season, going 3-0, and this is the start of a four game trip. L.A. will not lack motivation to start this trip on a positive note. Finally, the Kings only come to Toronto once a year and there are three Ontario boys on the roster, including leader Drew Doughty and goaltender Cam Talbot, who is expected to get the start. Motivation is high on the Kings' side while the Maple Leafs are not playing well and winning. The recipe is in place for an upset.
Los Angeles +139 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.78)