Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 2:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Pinnacle -½ +146 BET365 -½ +140 Sportsinteraction -½ +140 888Sport -½ +140
Edmonton -½ +146 over Minnesota
9:00 PM EST. Regulation only. The Oilers stock is tanking after a 1-3-1 start to the season, but that dip in market value is a prime example of why it’s so important not to overvalue wins and losses, especially this early in the season. The Oilers were much the better side in losses to Vancouver (twice), Philadelphia, and Winnipeg. After two weeks, Edmonton is the second-strongest puck-possession team in the NHL. We know the Oilers are going to get their chances, and sooner or later, those chances are going to find the back of the net.
The Oilers are taking a ton of heat at home because of their poor start in the standings, but those losses were because their goaltending was atrocious in many of those games. However, one cannot predict if a goaltender will be hot or not, and for the Oilers, it can only get better, as the tandem of Jack Campbell and Stuart Skinner ranks second last in the league in Save%.
The Wild are 2-2-1, but if not for Filip Gustavsson, they might not have a win at all. Minnesota was outshot by Columbus 54-28 on Saturday night in a game they were lucky to get a point in. It’s important not to overreact to just one game and so we’ll point out the Wild were also outplayed in games against the Kings, Canadiens, and Panthers, two of which (Cats & Habs) were wins.
Truth be told, the Wild have little to do with this play, but they serve us well here as a team that is performing at or about their market standing. That said, the Wild might be weaker than their stocks would suggest, and if that’s the case, there may be even more value here on the Oilers than is advertised.
Sherwood
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Our Pick
Edmonton -½ +146 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.92)