Posted at 12:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle +135  BET365  +140 Sportsinteraction +135 888Sport +135

Anaheim +140 over Nashville

9:37 PM EST. OT included. The Ducks are 5-3 over their past eight games with victories over Chicago, Carolina, Washington, Montreal and Calgary. Three of those five victories were on the road. While the Ducks were outplayed in most of those wins, they were still nice victories that are good for a teams’ psyche. The Ducks are playing hard, they’re scoring goals and just like any other team, they can get hot goaltending. That said, this wager is not about playing the Ducks, it’s about fading the Preds as road chalk at this absurd price.

Nashville beat Los Angeles last night in a game in which the Kings were flat. There is nothing more to that 2-1 shootout loss by the Kings. Nashville’s last six victories came against Chicago, Arizona, San Jose, Vancouver, Florida and Los Angeles and they didn’t outplay any of those teams except Vancouver. In every other victory over that span, Nashville’s xGF was less than their opponents. They did not win the puck possession battle in any of those games either with the exception of Vancouver. In this highly luck-driven outcome sport, the Preds need to get lucky to win games, which they do because they have an outstanding goaltender. Still, they do not deserve to be priced like this on the road.

The cherry on top is that Nashville played yesterday. It is the Preds fifth road game in eight days, third road game in four days and the tail end of back-to-back road games. It is also the final game of their six game road trip. It is not unreasonable to expect Nashville to be badly outplayed here. That doesn’t mean they’ll lose (Winnipeg looked like they were on a 60 minute penalty kill yesterday and won 5-4), but in terms of value, Nashville being favored in this range in a difficult spot makes the Ducks a great value bet.

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