Boston @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay +104 over Boston

Posted at 3:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle -103 BET365 +100 SportsInteraction +104 888Sport -105

Tampa Bay +104 over Boston

7:07 PM EST. OT Included. We understand that the Bruins may not lose another game until April but we’ll stick to our position that the Bruins winning pace is not sustainable. Good team, yes, of course but certainly not one of the best teams ever to lace ‘em up. If the B’s were to keep the winning pace they are on right now, they would end up with one of the top three records in NHL history in a 80 game or more schedule. Point being, negative regression is almost absolute the rest of the way, as Boston’s extreme good fortune is unexplainable.

The Lightning (29-15-1, 59 points) currently sit in the third playoff spot in the Atlantic Division, eight points ahead of a Panthers’ squad that entered Monday with a 7-2-1 record in its last 10 games. Tampa Bay has played its best hockey at Amalie Arena, going 17-4-1. As of Monday, its 35 points at home were third-most in the league, behind only Boston (47) and Toronto (38), the two teams it trails in the Atlantic Division. Its 90 goals at home were tied for third-most in the league. That said, Tampa is on cruise control until the playoffs. They are not like other Eastern teams that treat every game like it’s life or death but they know a big game when they see one and this is a big game.

Any GM in the league would take Tampa’s top three players over Boston’s top-3 100% of the time. Any GM in the league would take Andrei Vasilevskiy over any Boston goaltender 100% of the time. Give an edge to Boston’s defensemen but that’s the only edge the Bruins have. This one figures to get the Bolts’ juices flowing just to remind the Bruins who the kings of the East are until further notice. Say HC Jon Cooper, “Now we’re home for three before the break so there should be a little urgency”. Translation is that the Lightning will be ready here but most importantly is that they cannot be an underdog to Boston when the game is in Tampa.

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Our Pick

Tampa Bay +104 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.08)

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Chicago +167 over Ottawa