Washington @ Dallas
Dallas -½ +135 over Washington

Posted at 2:30 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle -½ +135 BET365 -½ +120 SportsInteraction -½ +113 888Sport -½ +115

Dallas -½ +135 over Washington

8:35 PM EST. Regulation only. Dallas has dropped three of four with its only win over that span occurring against the Canadiens. Washington is coming off back-to-back wins over L.A. in OT and subsequently over New Jersey in a 6-3 victory. As a result of these recent misleading scores, Dallas is grossly underpriced here.

Washington’s win over New Jersey was a complete illusion. Its other three wins were also illusions. The Caps were stuck two goals to Vancouver before a 4-0 third period bailed them out. They were down 2-0 to L.A., to start the third and came back from that one too with another lucky third period after being outplayed. In its win over New Jersey, the Caps were outshot 41-22 and outchanced 30-14. Between those misleading three victories, the Caps played Ottawa and were outchanced 27-14 in a 5-2 loss. This is a team deserving of one victory this year and that is getting way too much market respect.

Dallas’ three losses in its last four games were to the red-hot Bruins and Sens and to the uber-talented Maple Leafs. When they played teams of Washington’s caliber, Dallas crushed them all, outscoring Nashville twice and Winnipeg by a combined 13-3. There is nothing that the Caps do better than Dallas other than receive extreme good fortune but that is not something that is predictable. The stats that give us predictive value reveals that Dallas will outplay Washington and it’ll likely be by a wide margin. That makes Dallas very worthy at this reduced rate.

Our Pick

Dallas -½ +135 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.70)

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Buffalo +130 over Tampa Bay