New Jersey @ Detroit
New Jersey -½ +160 over Detroit

Posted at 2:45 PM EST odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle -½ +145 BET365 -½ +160 SportsInteraction -½ +145 888Sport -½ +150

New Jersey -½ +145 over Detroit

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. We’re not bailing on the Devils. No chance, as this is another reaction to the market and media putting emphasis on wins and losses as opposed to the product on the ice. New Jersey lost last night to Washington 6-3 to drop its record to a pedestrian .500. Meanwhile, the Red Wings are 3-0-2 and, thus, Detroit has picked up eight out of a possible 10 points. The Devils opened as the chalk (favorite) at some joints and opened at a near pick-em at others but the efficient market did not like that one bit and now Detroit is favored.

There were six games played in the NHL last night and it was New Jersey that created more scoring chances than any team in action. The Devils’ Corsi For mark was also the highest of any team. The Devils outshot Washington 41-22. They outchanced them 30-14. The Devils xGF was close to 4 while Washington’s was 1.5 but all the market sees is 6-3 in favor of Washington. The correct score should’ve been about 7-1.

It’s not just one game either. The Devils are dominating but now winning because they are either running into a hot goalie or getting some weak goaltending of their own. No team in the NHL has looked better in the early going than New Jersey so we must “stick with it” here and continue to play them at these reduced prices.

As for the undefeated in regulation Red Wings, well. Their bubble is about to burst. Detroit ranks 27th out of 32 teams in puck possession time in the offensive end during five-on-five play. They rank 28th in xGF during five-on-five play while the Devils rank 1st. It’s also worth noting that the Red Wings will be without winger Tyler Bertuzzi, which is hardly ideal for a Detroit squad that is not creating to begin with.

Our Pick

New Jersey -½ +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

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Buffalo +130 over Tampa Bay