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Posted at 10:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Baltimore Ravens -1 over Buffalo Bills

8:30 PM ET. If you're looking for a game loaded with narratives, this one checks every box: MVP candidates squaring off, two teams with explosive offenses, and a playoff rematch four years in the making.

The Bills’ résumé looks impressive on the surface: a 13-4 record, an AFC East crown, and an offense that averages 30.9 points per game. Their 31-7 dismantling of Denver last week will have the market buzzing, but it’s worth noting how flawed the Broncos were. Buffalo capitalized on miscues, scoring 31 unanswered points after Denver handed them the game on a platter. In fact, Buffalo has leaned heavily on these kinds of opportunistic wins all season, masking the fact that their offense has been inconsistent against teams with elite defenses like Baltimore.

The Ravens, on the other hand, have been nothing short of dominant. Their five-game win streak isn’t just about results; it’s about how they’re winning. Baltimore has allowed just 11.4 points per game over that span while putting up 32 points per contest. Derrick Henry has transformed this offense into a nightmare to defend. Henry gashed Buffalo for 199 yards and an 87-yard touchdown run in Week 4, and there’s little reason to believe the Bills will be able to contain him this time around.

Lamar Jackson’s MVP-caliber season has been the catalyst for Baltimore’s resurgence. Jackson has thrown for multiple touchdowns in seven straight games and added another dimension with his legs, racking up 81 rushing yards against Pittsburgh last week. Even without Zay Flowers, Jackson has proven he can spread the ball effectively, and the Ravens’ offense is as balanced as it’s been in years. This is a classic case of buying into substance over style, and Baltimore is the side with all the substance.

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